Learn Before
Case Study

Based on the problem of induction, evaluate the lead researcher's conclusion. What fundamental philosophical limitation does their statement ignore, and how should they properly frame their scientific claim?

Case context: A team of experimental psychologists conducts a massive multi-site study on reading comprehension. They observe that in their sample of 10,000 participants, every single person who used a new highlighting technique showed improved retention. The lead researcher confidently drafts a report stating, 'These 10,000 confirming observations definitively prove the universal rule that this highlighting technique improves retention in all human readers.'

Question: Based on the problem of induction, evaluate the lead researcher's conclusion. What fundamental philosophical limitation does their statement ignore, and how should they properly frame their scientific claim?

Sample answer: The lead researcher ignores the problem of induction, which dictates that empirical observations can never definitively prove a universal rule. While 10,000 confirming instances provide robust support, they do not guarantee the rule is absolute because the future discovery of a single disconfirming case (a person who does not improve) would instantly disprove it. The researcher should frame their claim by stating the theory is provisional and subject to revision.

Key points:

  • The researcher is ignoring the problem of induction.
  • Observing thousands of confirming cases does not guarantee a universal truth.
  • A future disconfirming instance would instantly disprove the universal claim.
  • Scientific claims should describe theories as provisional and subject to revision rather than definitively proven.

Rubric: Full credit requires identifying that the researcher ignored the problem of induction, explaining that thousands of confirming cases cannot prove a universal rule due to the possibility of a disconfirming case, and suggesting the findings be framed as provisional.

0

1

Updated 2026-05-27

Contributors are:

Who are from:

Tags

KPU

Research Methods in Psychology - 4th American Edition @ KPU

Related