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Imagine you are writing the conclusion section of your psychology research paper after finding strong, repeated empirical evidence supporting your hypothesis about memory. Applying the principle of the problem of induction, how must you describe the current status of your supported theory?

Question: Imagine you are writing the conclusion section of your psychology research paper after finding strong, repeated empirical evidence supporting your hypothesis about memory. Applying the principle of the problem of induction, how must you describe the current status of your supported theory?

Sample answer: Even with strong empirical evidence and numerous confirming instances, I must describe my theory as provisional and subject to revision. The problem of induction means my observations cannot definitively prove the theory, as a future disconfirming case remains possible.

Key points:

  • The theory must be described as provisional.
  • The theory remains subject to future revision.
  • Confirming evidence does not constitute definitive proof of a universal rule.

Rubric: Full credit is given for stating that the theory must be described as provisional or subject to revision, explicitly noting that confirming observations cannot provide definitive proof.

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Updated 2026-05-27

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Research Methods in Psychology - 4th American Edition @ KPU

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